Investors' housing splurge. Tim Colebatch. The Age, 18 February, 2008

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RENTAL investors have swarmed back into Victoria's housing market, borrowing almost 30% more funds last year to snap up what they saw as bargains, and pushing aside first home buyers as prices soared.

Australian Bureau of Statistics figures just released show that rental investors borrowed $15.6 billion in 2007 to buy existing homes in Victoria: 29.4% more than a year earlier, and 10 times the amount they borrowed in 1995.

With investors last year offered a one-off opportunity to put $1 million into superannuation tax-free, experts including then treasurer Peter Costello and Reserve Bank governor Glenn Stevens predicted investors would move money out of housing into superannuation. Yet in the end, they found enough money for both.

Any shift out of housing was overwhelmed by the shift into it, as investors sought to capitalise on forecasts of a rent surge due to housing construction falling well behind the growth in Melbourne's population.

It was a similar story in Brisbane and Adelaide, and to some extent, even in Sydney. After three years in which investment in rental housing fell or remained flat, except in Western Australia, last year it reignited — and taking housing prices with it.

At national level, lending to rental investors buying existing homes shot up 18% last year to a record $75.4 billion. Yet borrowing by investors to build new housing shrank for the second year in a row. Only one in every 12 dollars lent to investors was used to build something.

The bureau estimates that housing prices rose 18% in Melbourne and 12% nationally over the year to December. The Real Estate Institute of Victoria reported a 23% rise in Melbourne's median price.

The victims were first home buyers. In 2005 and 2006, as investors retreated and prices stabilised, young buyers had come back into the market. The number of properties financed by first home buyers shot up 45% in just two years, from 90,029 in 2004 to 130,357 in 2006. But last year that momentum went flat.

The number of first home buyers financed rose just 4% to 135,252. The amount they received rose 8% to $31.6 billion, less than 40% of the amount lent to investors. Until the mid-90s, lending to the two groups was roughly similar.

Victoria was only slightly better. The number of loans to first home buyers rose just 6% to 34,807, while the amount lent climbed 10% to $7.8 billion, just under half the amount lent to investors. But Victoria does have slightly more than its share of first home buyers, and a lower share of property investors.

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